View Full Version : ODDS of GUESSING secret CODES


Lifeparty
06-19-2006, 03:10 AM
what are the odds of guessing a code? i think they are kinda high bc of so many one time codes. what r ur oppions?

soccerkidtlk
06-19-2006, 03:13 AM
you would need a program that you could put every letter and all numbers combos (1-9) So there would be a LOTLOTLOT of codes to try. My opinion DONT TRY

Rainy_days
06-19-2006, 03:17 AM
they are low.. there are.. 4059928950 combinations.. i wouldn't guess

SunshineFairy
06-19-2006, 03:25 AM
Besides, what would happen if you DID guess it right then the excited little kid who just got home with his quest cards goes to enter it and it doesn't work... that little guy or girl would be very sad, indeed.

I think it would be close to impossible to guess anyway.

Rainy_days
06-19-2006, 03:26 AM
it's like winning the lotto LOL

CaptainZeke
06-19-2006, 03:29 AM
The odds are VERY LOW.

And just like SunshineFairy said, that poor little kid that just completed the quest and ran home to enter it in wouldn't have his code work. That would be very harsh indeed.

Anielmz
06-19-2006, 03:35 AM
Besides, what would happen if you DID guess it right then the excited little kid who just got home with his quest cards goes to enter it and it doesn't work... that little guy or girl would be very sad, indeed.

I think it would be close to impossible to guess anyway.
Yeah... :( And maybe that little kid could be you.. :(

ghlow
06-19-2006, 04:43 AM
You shouldn't try, because you wont guess it and even if you did, the reward would most likely be something narnia or whatever. it'd be a waste of time and it's not very nice.

also, i made that avatar for rachal, did you have her permission to use it? if not, please, like, don't.

PinkTinkPixie
06-19-2006, 04:48 AM
Besides, what would happen if you DID guess it right then the excited little kid who just got home with his quest cards goes to enter it and it doesn't work... that little guy or girl would be very sad, indeed.

I think it would be close to impossible to guess anyway.

Haha, good point!!!

~Pink

Yapperh
06-19-2006, 04:52 AM
yes low odds and the reward wouldnt be worth it

MagicStarPower
06-19-2006, 04:56 AM
actually there would be a 1 in 62,813,896,704 shot you would guess right.

Neoteny
06-19-2006, 05:07 AM
actually there would be a 1 in 62,813,896,704 shot you would guess right.
But you could guess more than once.

jeremyv
06-19-2006, 05:14 AM
I think it would be mean to even attempt guessing a code considering the person who actually has the card and how upset they would be when it doesn't work. All of their excitement down the drain....

itsAPRIL
06-19-2006, 05:16 AM
I think the odds of getting at least ONE code right is..
1 in infinity. hahaha. Plus, some kid who worked hard for that code you 'cracked' wouldn't get that prize, & make them very sad.

MagicStarPower
06-19-2006, 05:19 AM
But you could guess more than once.

This is the amount for 1 guess. The number for as many guesses as you wanted would be incredible. Example:

If you guessed 150 times, you would have a 150 in 9,422,084,505,600.

If you guessed 1000 times, you would have a 1000 in 62,813,896,704,000

Or rounded 63 to the 12th power.

FantasyKeith
06-19-2006, 05:40 AM
Technically... with the 16 digit code, and having 35 possible letters/numbers a-z & 1-9, leaving off the zero due to it looking like an o.

It would be 5,070,942,774,902,496,337,890,625 combinations...
or 5 septillion 70 sextillion 942 quintillion 774 quadrillion 902 trillion 496 billion 337 million 890 thousand 625.
(35 to the power of 16) (a 5 with 24 additional places after it)

or in otherwords.... ALOT!!

Even if you just had the 26 letters, it would be 43,608,742,899,428,874,059,776 combinations... (26 to the power of 16) (43 with 21 additional places)

DisneyMasterKevin
06-19-2006, 06:13 AM
Technically... with the 16 digit code, and having 35 possible letters/numbers a-z & 1-9, leaving off the zero due to it looking like an o.

It would be 5,070,942,774,902,496,337,890,625 combinations...
or 5 septillion 70 sextillion 942 quintillion 774 quadrillion 902 trillion 496 billion 337 million 890 thousand 625.
(35 to the power of 16) (a 5 with 24 additional places after it)

or in otherwords.... ALOT!!

Even if you just had the 26 letters, it would be 43,608,742,899,428,874,059,776 combinations... (26 to the power of 16) (43 with 21 additional places)


wow lol... and thanks for showing me the numbers over trillion o.o(quadrillion, quantillion, sextillion, and septillion O.O)

SunshineFairy
06-19-2006, 06:23 AM
Technically... with the 16 digit code, and having 35 possible letters/numbers a-z & 1-9, leaving off the zero due to it looking like an o.

It would be 5,070,942,774,902,496,337,890,625 combinations...
or 5 septillion 70 sextillion 942 quintillion 774 quadrillion 902 trillion 496 billion 337 million 890 thousand 625.
(35 to the power of 16) (a 5 with 24 additional places after it)

or in otherwords.... ALOT!!

Even if you just had the 26 letters, it would be 43,608,742,899,428,874,059,776 combinations... (26 to the power of 16) (43 with 21 additional places)

Impressive!

ruminant
06-19-2006, 12:20 PM
yes and imagin someone guess a stitch code right and you just got the code you enter saying im gonna get stitch yay! and then it does not work you get confused enter it three more times still does not work you message staff they say someone must have already entered it but HOW? you think some kids *LIKE ME* would start Crying because they have wanted it for oh so long they recieve it and someone has entered now they wont get their lovely prize and whine and moan saying they went to disney land and got a quest card nobody in VMK believeing them since they dont have the item how would it feel if it was YOU

Neoteny
06-19-2006, 02:53 PM
Yeah, or imagine how happy you were to get a Golden Ears code, and then you typed it in and got a Happiest Celebration on Earth Pin. That wouldn't be any fun.

kittenofthenight
06-19-2006, 02:55 PM
maybe 1 :4059928950 bc if theirs 4059928950 it would be very hard to guess bc think about it 0-9 and A-Z thats alot..

jeremyv
06-19-2006, 03:08 PM
Even if you just had the 26 letters, it would be 43,608,742,899,428,874,059,776 combinations... (26 to the power of 16) (43 with 21 additional places)

IF and only IF they allowed every possible combination. Subtract all same number generations (AAAA-AAAA-AAAA-AAAA) and quite a few of them close to it, as well as offensive wording and any other combination that would give a negative effect to get a more accurate number.

~ Σ (26**16/2ß)∞

Theoretically the answer is undefined because we do not know the constraints VMK has put on the codes.

Neoteny
06-19-2006, 03:22 PM
IF and only IF they allowed every possible combination. Subtract all same number generations (AAAA-AAAA-AAAA-AAAA) and quite a few of them close to it, as well as offensive wording and any other combination that would give a negative effect to get a more accurate number.

~ Σ (26**16/2ß)∞

Theoretically the answer is undefined because we do not know the constraints VMK has put on the codes.

I don't know about the constraints on offensive wording. I've received a few codes containing questionable letter sequences.

warioguy
06-19-2006, 08:05 PM
I don't know about the constraints on offensive wording. I've received a few codes containiing questionable letter sequences.
Lol, same here. Once my Narnia code actually spelled a swear word... O_O

-Warioguy http://jm.g.free.fr/smileys/cute_smileys/drive2.gif

Jdrizzle
06-19-2006, 08:09 PM
Besides, what would happen if you DID guess it right then the excited little kid who just got home with his quest cards goes to enter it and it doesn't work... that little guy or girl would be very sad, indeed.

I think it would be close to impossible to guess anyway.
That would practically be near impossible. The odds of a code being guessed twice out of an incredible number of combinations is HIGHLY unlikely. I wouldn't worry about someone getting the same code you just entered.

There are only a few classified machines owned by the government that could choose every possibility in less than 5 minutes. It would take a lot longer than you have in your lifetime to guess every possible combination

technogirl
06-19-2006, 08:14 PM
I'd say a really low chance to get the code right. I think the staff don't use all the codes so it may be very unlikely to get the code right.

warioguy
06-19-2006, 08:15 PM
Though it IS possible, I once heard of someone that got a Haunted Mansion Clock from misspelling a narnia code...

-Warioguy http://jm.g.free.fr/smileys/cute_smileys/marsa37.gif

LostSoulz
06-19-2006, 11:56 PM
lol you people are math wizzes! I dont know math that well :( i was in a resource class for math this year instead of a elective but thats all right FRENCH next year! And thx for telling us of the odds for secret codes you might be right.:wave2:

xo.Green.Cherry.x
06-20-2006, 12:01 AM
it'd be hard to guess so i wouldnt =]

Christygirlya
06-20-2006, 12:05 AM
Wow, it would be really hard! And also, the poor kid wouldn't get his quest or narnia :(.I really don't think that it is worth it..

sorasapple
06-20-2006, 12:07 AM
someone did that to me three of my codes did not work in febuary

SuperSnowCutie
06-20-2006, 12:09 AM
Unless your very lucky... look down low for your chance!